Why The Leafs Won't Win The Cup

Hello. Well, the Leafs won their fifth straight game last night. Plan the parade route! They are on their way to winning Lord Stanley!
In fairness to Toronto and any other city, the odds of winning the Stanley Cup are 1 in 30 to start the year. If a team makes the playoffs, it then becomes 1 in 16. Would you bet your house on something that has < 7% chance of happening?
People point to Calgary and Edmonton the last two times the Cup was contested and say anything can happen in the playoffs. And yes, that is true. These teams just barely made it in, and then came one victory away from winning it all. However, the odds against any team, especially one that has to play most of its games on the road, are very high.
Look at how well Detroit has played over the years. And they've won 3 Cups since 1990. Are they a lock this year? No. Could they win? Sure.
Same thing with the Devils. And the Ducks, Sabres and Predators. All of them could either win, or flame out.
Toronto is in the same category. And no matter how they finish, the odds are they won't win the Cup. Count on it.

Regards,
Steve