Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Bye Bye Playoffs?

It's been a long time posting, but on the afternoon of the NFL schedule being released, a question came to mind.
Does it matter when an NFL team gets its bye? In other words, can a bye week alone determine whether or not an NFL team makes the playoffs?
I looked at all byes from the 2002 to 2009 seasons (since the league went to 32 teams) and looked at what the odds were. A teams odds, everything else being equal, should be 12 playoff teams / 32 teams = 37.5%. I found the following:

Bye # of teams (02-09) # of playoff teams (02-09) %
Week 2 2 1 50
Week 3 20 11 55
Week 4 34 17 50
Week 5 32 8 25
Week 6 36 11 31
Week 7 36 17 47
Week 8 36 10 28
Week 9 34 12 35
Week 10 26 9 35

Based on the following data, if you want to improve your odds, it's best to hope for a bye in weeks 2, 3, 4 and 7.
Does a bye week matter for how deep a team goes in the playoffs? More tomorrow.

Regards,
Steve

Thursday, November 13, 2008

It's Time To Say Goodbye

Hello. I've been unable to write for the past few weeks due to computer problems. And now I'm saying goodbye to the blogosphere.
Why? Because during my time off the blog, I found out blogging for just myself was irrelevant. I'm able to relieve stress the way I did before the blog.
I've always just blogged for myself because I'm irrelevant. I didn't think anyone would have feedback for an irrelevant person, and for the most part I was right. Thanks to those who did reply. It was greatly appreciated.
Another thing I've learned during my absence is becoming relevant starts one person at a time. And that first person has to be me. Since I'm still working on myself, there's no relevant reason to include any of you now.
All the best! And an irrelevant goodbye!

Regards,
Steve

Thursday, October 16, 2008

Is Dion Stepping Down?

Hello. I saw in the Toronto Star a report this morning saying Stephane Dion may be stepping down as federal Liberal leader. This comes after receiving the lowest Liberal popular vote in an election ever.
If Dion does step down, he will be only the 2nd Liberal leader to never be prime minister. Amazing to think how dominant they've been. But it also shows how far they've fallen. And it happened before Dion became leader. Can anyone say sponsorship scandal (among other things)?
Losing 19 seats is not what Dion or the Liberals had in mind. But then again, after seeing the Liberal leadership campaign which elected Dion, it was obvious there were party divides.
If the Liberals want to gain back power, this leadership convention has to be a coronation for someone, instead of an entertaining dogfight like the last one. Someone named Rae, Ignatieff or other candidate has to be unanimously selected. Pierre Trudeau could do that. Maybe Justin Trudeau will someday.

Regards,
Steve

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Is Anything Different?

Hello. This question may be one people are asking today in Canada. Did anything change?
My simple answer is yes. There were a few small changes.
Why? One of the oldest reasons ever, complacency. And there's no better riding to illustrate it than Kitchener Centre.
Karen Redman, a Liberal, has held this riding for over a decade. She's a very competent politician from what I'm told. I believe she'd won the seat 6 times.
Last night she lost to a Conservative in a tight race.
It's my theory a loss like this results from complacency. And in fairness, Karen had reason to be complacent. The Liberals looked like they were getting momentum. And Conservatives have historically not done well in Ontario.
How many past supporters went Conservative? Or NDP? Enough to lose by 339 votes?
A quality veteran candidate like this should not lose, even when the rest of the province is going Conservative. Kitchener Centre is not my riding, so I'm supposedly objective.
Next time any political candidate is in an election, do not be complacent.

Regards,
Steve

Tuesday, October 14, 2008

The Race For Second The Most Exciting? II

Hello. Well, as I write this, it looks like a stronger Conservative minority government.
Some things did happen as I predicted:
  1. The Liberals were closer to #2 than #1. Popular vote was down around 5% across the nation. Can you say bye bye Mr Dion?
  2. Jack Layton should be proud. The biggest gains of the night. He should be in good shape for the next election.
  3. The Green Party is popular with youth. They may be a factor in another generation.
  4. The Bloc is still a presence, although I don't know why. Does anyone smell a referendum in the near future?

The big surprise for me was the Conservatives running a poor campaign. A majority was a great possibility. I think they'll get one next time, unless the Liberal leader is named Trudeau.

I hope everyone voted.

Regards,

Steve

Thursday, October 09, 2008

Please Vote

Hello. Needless to say, people do not feel they have control of their lives right now. The US economic freefall is now being said to hit Canada. And while I don't think it will be as bad, I'm sure people will be feeling the pinch.
Well, even in these times, it's comforting to know there is one thing completely under everyone who is eligible's control - the right to vote. And believe me, it is a right, and in my humble opinion it ranks up there with the right to eat food and the right to have shelter.
Voting is something which our ancestors fought very hard for. Two world wars, and countless other struggles paved the way for this right.
It's everyone's chance to choose who should be leading us. And while the selection may not always be the greatest, it's still an opportunity to make things better. There aren't very many more powerful things an individual can do.
To all those who may think their votes don't matter, think again. Even if your candidate doesn't win, isn't there something to saying a party won when 100% of the people voted, as opposed to only 50%?
Happy Canadian Thanksgiving! I'll post again on Tuesday.

Regards,
Steve

Tuesday, October 07, 2008

Creamer Joins Elite American Company

Hello. Congrats to Paula Creamer for winning the Samsung event Sunday against an elite 30 player field. It was Paula's 4th victory of the season.
Is it safe to say Paula is the best American player? For sure. Although Creamer hasn't won a major yet, and Morgan Pressel has, Paula has 9 career wins in 3 seasons. Her 4 wins in a season is the most by an American since Juli Inkster got 5 wins in 1999.
Now, can Paula challenge the LPGA's elite (ie Lorena Ochoa and all the great Asian players)? That's a different story. It's also hard to believe a 4 time winner is not in the same class. However, if I was going to list my predicted 2009 major winners, Creamer would maybe be around 10th. Harsh, maybe misguided, but true.
Why? In simple terms, Paula's not long enough for the LPGA Tour this decade. And while the rest of her game can make up for it occasionally, her length hinders her going against the others.
Is it something she can correct? I would think so, as long as she keeps her mechanics. I'm not the longest hitter in the world, and I won't sacrifice my consistency to get length. Why hit it another 20 yards when I wouldn't know where it was going?
Congrats Paula!

Regards,
Steve
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